Legia Varşova vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova 0-3 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea ran out comfortable winners over Legia Varşova 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 28% of the ball to Chelsea's 72%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.54 to 4.17.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Chelsea?
Legia Varşova 0-3 Chelsea in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 27%, draw 24%, Chelsea 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.