Inter Miami 3-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5 Pick
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
Crosses 7.1
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.16 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
354 Passes 366
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
04.09.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
12.03.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-2 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
02.03.2020 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.96 xG 1.10
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 10
444 Passes 268
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami saw off Los Angeles FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 60% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 40%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.96 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Inter Miami and 1.25 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Los Angeles FC?

Inter Miami 3-1 Los Angeles FC in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 49%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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