Pumas UNAM 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No Pick
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
43%
+10.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.45/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.32
+83% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
35.1 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.53 xG 0.73
44% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
360 Passes 456
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 18
4 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CON
08.08.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-2 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
2-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.63 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
405 Passes 299
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM and Vancouver Whitecaps couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 58% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 42%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.63 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Pumas UNAM 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 54%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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