Cruzeiro vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro 1-2 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa nicked a narrow win over Cruzeiro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 75% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 25%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.72.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Mushuc Runa?
Cruzeiro 1-2 Mushuc Runa in the Copa Sudamericana on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 53%, draw 27%, Mushuc Runa 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.