Palestino 2-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.88
No Pick
64%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.99
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
15%
6.53
X/2
16%
4.97
X/X
12%
4.14
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.28
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.7pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 45%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.2 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
2-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
2.10 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
251 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino got the better of Union Santa Fe 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Palestino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Palestino had 41% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 59%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.10 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Union Santa Fe?

Palestino 2-0 Union Santa Fe in the Copa Sudamericana on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Palestino 36%, draw 24%, Union Santa Fe 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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