FC Fredericia 5-1 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 Pick
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.52/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.07
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.2 Crosses 16.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
364 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-2 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
21.07.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
10.11.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
22.08.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.05.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-4 HT 0-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
10.04.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
5-1
AWAY AC Horsens
1.07 xG 0.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
334 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia ran out comfortable winners over AC Horsens 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day FC Fredericia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 47% of the ball to AC Horsens's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.33 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens?

FC Fredericia 5-1 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 37%, draw 28%, AC Horsens 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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