Arba Minch Kenema 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.52
Over
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
34%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.51/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.98
+55% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
03.10.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3-1 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1-1
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 34% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 42% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 58%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Arba Minch Kenema 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 27%, draw 34%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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