Bahardar 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
39%
2.66
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
37%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
39%
Draw
34%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.8pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.98/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.00
-6% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2025 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
14.03.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 3-1 HT 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
2-0
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar saw off Ethiopia Bunna 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 39% / 23%) promised a tight game; Bahardar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bahardar had 46% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 54%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bahardar and 2.00 for Ethiopia Bunna.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Bahardar 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 38%, draw 39%, Ethiopia Bunna 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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