Al Safa 1-2 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.22/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.04
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Faisaly
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
16.03.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
12.11.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
1-2
AWAY Al Faisaly
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly nicked a narrow win over Al Safa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Faisaly as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 30% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 70%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Safa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Safa and 1.33 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Faisaly?

Al Safa 1-2 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 27%, draw 26%, Al Faisaly 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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