Damac FC 0-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
13%
15.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 21% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.4 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
07.03.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
14.09.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-2 HT 2-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
03.05.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
20.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-1
AWAY Al Wehda
0.44 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 0
325 Passes 367
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda edged past Damac FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Damac FC had 47% of the ball to Al Wehda's 53%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.44 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Damac FC and 1.17 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Wehda?

Damac FC 0-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 41%, draw 25%, Al Wehda 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Over 2.5
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