Gençlerbirliği 2-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.55/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-28% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.1 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.45 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-3 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
14.01.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
13.08.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 2-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
21.05.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-4 HT 1-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
26.12.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
23.02.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2-1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
2.26 xG 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 325
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği nicked a narrow win over Ümraniyespor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gençlerbirliği as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 50% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 50%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.26 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.17 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Ümraniyespor?

Gençlerbirliği 2-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 48%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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