Adanaspor 1-4 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.8pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 71%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.25/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.18
+44% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.1 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.97 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
323 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
03.02.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
01.09.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
21.05.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
24.12.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
01.12.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-4
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.94 xG 3.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
359 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
5 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor swept aside Adanaspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adanaspor had 54% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 46%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.94 to 3.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Adanaspor and 1.83 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Adanaspor 1-4 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 24%, draw 21%, Kocaelispor 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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