Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Apr 2026

Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-2 HT 0-0
Holstein Kiel
📅10/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.76
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
20%
4.93
X/2
14%
7.15
X/X
9%
5.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.65
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.42/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.65
-10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.0 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
384 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
11.05.2024 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
10.12.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-1 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
06.05.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 HT 3-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
29.10.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
06.02.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-2
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.10 xG 1.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
402 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel edged past Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 58% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 0.83 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 45%, draw 24%, Holstein Kiel 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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