Illertissen 1-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +24%
1.68/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.55
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2025 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-5 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
26.04.2025 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.10.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 0-2 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-2 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen and Nürnberg II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Illertissen and 1.33 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Nürnberg II?

Illertissen 1-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 38%, draw 29%, Nürnberg II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Illertissen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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