Austria Lustenau 3-0 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
47%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
7%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.21
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.06
X/2
10%
5.46
X/X
11%
4.16
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.57
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 1/X at 12.55 — our 9% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
2.90/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.23
-16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.5 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
21.02.2025 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
09.08.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
01.11.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 3-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AUK
08.05.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-0 HT 3-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
31.10.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
3-0
AWAY St. Pölten
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau ran out comfortable winners over St. Pölten 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Austria Lustenau made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 34% of the ball to St. Pölten's 66%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.17 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs St. Pölten?

Austria Lustenau 3-0 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 37%, draw 27%, St. Pölten 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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