Karvan Evlakh 4-1 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
39%
3.28
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
6%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
39%
Draw
27%
+11.9pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 46%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-10% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvan Evlakh
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.11.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 1-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
23.08.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 0-1 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERS
POST-MATCH Karvan Evlakh vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvan Evlakh swept aside Kapaz 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 39% / 34% — and on the day Karvan Evlakh made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Karvan Evlakh and 2.00 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Karvan Evlakh vs Kapaz?

Karvan Evlakh 4-1 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvan Evlakh vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karvan Evlakh 27%, draw 39%, Kapaz 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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