Karvan Evlakh 1-2 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvan Evlakh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kapaz
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.08.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 0-1 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERS
POST-MATCH Karvan Evlakh vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz squeezed past Karvan Evlakh 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kapaz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Karvan Evlakh vs Kapaz?

Karvan Evlakh 1-2 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvan Evlakh vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapaz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karvan Evlakh 37%, draw 18%, Kapaz 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapaz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kapaz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
21 Nov 2025
18:00 Sumqayıt vs Karabağ Analysis →