Sumqayıt vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sumqayıt v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Sumqayıt vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Karabağ got the better of Sumqayıt 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sumqayıt and 2.00 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Karabağ?
Sumqayıt 2-4 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 14%, draw 19%, Karabağ 67%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.