Karabağ 2-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.95
No
64%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.3pp
22%
Draw
11%
+10.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
30%
+6.5pp
64%
BTTS No
70%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
2.76/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.39
+37% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
386 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sumqayıt
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
03.03.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-2 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
16.12.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 5-0 HT 3-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
06.10.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
25.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-6 HT 1-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 5-0 HT 4-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ saw off Sumqayıt 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Karabağ and 0.17 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?

Karabağ 2-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 65%, draw 22%, Sumqayıt 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
4 May 2025
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