Sumqayıt 0-2 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 Mar 2025

Sumqayıt
0-2 HT 0-2
Karabağ
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Sumqayıt vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
62%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.1pp
62%
Away Win
73%
-10.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 77%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
0.45/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.55
-28% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +34%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
191 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sumqayıt vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Karabağ
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
The Meetings
16.12.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 5-0 HT 3-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
06.10.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
25.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-6 HT 1-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 5-0 HT 4-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
22.05.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ saw off Sumqayıt 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sumqayıt and 3.33 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Karabağ?

Sumqayıt 0-2 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 16%, draw 22%, Karabağ 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
3 Mar 2025
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