Sebail FK 0-2 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -27%
1.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.41
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
05.10.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
20.12.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 6-0 HT 2-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
26.01.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
23.10.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.08.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi got the better of Sebail FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Shamakhi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sebail FK and 0.50 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Shamakhi?

Sebail FK 0-2 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 35%, draw 33%, Shamakhi 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sebail FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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