Karabağ 5-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-21.6pp
26%
Draw
13%
+13.1pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
2.74/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.32
+31% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sumqayıt
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
25.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-6 HT 1-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 5-0 HT 4-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
22.05.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
15.03.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-6 HT 0-4 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ swept aside Sumqayıt 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Karabağ and 0.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?

Karabağ 5-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 59%, draw 26%, Sumqayıt 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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