Karabağ vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-6
HT 1-3
Karabağ
AZERS
Sumqayıt edged past Karabağ 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabağ at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Karabağ and 0.17 for Sumqayıt.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?
Karabağ 0-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 64%, draw 23%, Sumqayıt 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.