Ards FC 2-1 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.68
Over 2.5
69%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.29
2-3 Goals
37%
2.34
4-5 Goals
34%
2.25
6+ Goals
11%
3.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
15%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
85%
-8.3pp
12%
Draw
9%
+2.7pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 9%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.67/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/4.21
-38% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -48%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Armagh City
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.12.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 0-8 HT 0-4 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
08.11.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.09.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
18.01.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 4-2 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
26.10.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC squeezed past Armagh City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Ards FC and 1.00 for Armagh City.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Armagh City?

Ards FC 2-1 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 76%, draw 12%, Armagh City 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →