Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 May 2024

Doncaster Rovers
0-2 HT 0-2
Crewe Alexandra
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
18%
4.16
X/2
12%
8.26
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
10%
6.24
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.57/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.27
-1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.4 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
265 Passes 260
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
09.03.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
25.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
01.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
22.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
09.04.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1

Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
0-2
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.25 xG 0.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
393 Passes 204
71% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 23
39 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra beat Doncaster Rovers 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 61% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 39%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.25 to 0.52 — on chances, Doncaster Rovers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.00 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra?

Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 49%, draw 23%, Crewe Alexandra 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ BTTS No
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