Riga FC 1-1 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 May 2024

Riga FC
1-1 HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Riga FC vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga FC v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.57
+18% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
35.0 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2

Riga FC vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
309 Passes 239
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
11.11.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
26.08.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
09.06.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-0 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
30.04.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
11.09.2022 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 3-1 HT 1-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET

Riga FC 1-1 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
1-1
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.09 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
353 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 36
33 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC and Valmiera / BSS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Riga FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Riga FC had 53% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 47%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.09 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Riga FC and 1.17 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Valmiera / BSS?

Riga FC 1-1 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 49%, draw 27%, Valmiera / BSS 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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