Rigas Skola 4-1 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-20.9pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.0pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.60/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.48
+13% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
41.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
27.6 Crosses 11.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.69 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
406 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.09.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
08.07.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
06.11.2022 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 0-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-1
AWAY Liepaja
3.06 xG 0.22
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
623 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
62 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola ran out comfortable winners over Liepaja 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 74% of the ball to Liepaja's 26%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 3.06 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.33 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Liepaja?

Rigas Skola 4-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 61%, draw 20%, Liepaja 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
10 May 2024
20:00 Riga FC vs Valmiera / BSS Analysis →