Beijing Guoan 3-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.41
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
24.2
X/1
17%
3.79
X/2
5%
23.3
X/X
9%
8.72
2/1
5%
22.9
2/2
5%
20.8
2/X
4%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
75%
-7.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.64/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.51
+46% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.2 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
443 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
09.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
04.11.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
08.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 5-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
11.07.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
3-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.59 xG 0.30
77% Ball Possession 23%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
773 Passes 188
92% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan saw off Shenzhen FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 77% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 23%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.59 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC?

Beijing Guoan 3-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 68%, draw 18%, Shenzhen FC 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
10 May 2025
14:00 Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon Analysis →
14:35 Shandong Taishan vs Zhejiang G. FC Analysis →
14:35 Meizhou Hakka vs Chengdu Qianbao Analysis →