Jablonec 4-0 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
2.35/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.77
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.8 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
296 Passes 214
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.10.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.11.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 2-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
05.11.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
4-0
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.99 xG 0.24
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
460 Passes 156
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec swept aside Sigma Olomouc 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jablonec had 70% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 30%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.99 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jablonec and 1.17 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?

Jablonec 4-0 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 57%, draw 23%, Sigma Olomouc 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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