Slavia Prag 2-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
28%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.15/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.75
+13% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
25.1 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.48 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
230 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
06.10.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.03.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
28.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
24.09.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
2-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.30 xG 0.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
308 Passes 125
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
34 Box Touches 23
35 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag squeezed past Sparta Prag 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 66% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 34%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.17 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Slavia Prag 2-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 52%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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