Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.80
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lugo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.03 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
261 Passes 379
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Lugo Lugo 2-2 HT 1-2 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
21.01.2024 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
30.09.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
09.06.2019 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
21.10.2018 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
01.04.2018 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 3-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-2
AWAY Lugo
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Lugo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 58% of the ball to Lugo's 42%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 0.67 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Lugo?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 51%, draw 26%, Lugo 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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