Lugo vs Gimnastic Tarragona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugo v Gimnastic Tarragona — Team-Based Signals
Lugo vs Gimnastic Tarragona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Gimnastic Tarragona
İS3
1-1
HT 0-0
Lugo
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Gimnastic Tarragona
İS2
3-0
HT 1-0
Lugo
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Gimnastic Tarragona
İS2
Lugo 2-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Actual Match Statistics
Lugo and Gimnastic Tarragona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lugo had 59% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 41%, shots finished 31-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lugo and 1.17 for Gimnastic Tarragona.
What was the final score of Lugo vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Lugo 2-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugo vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugo 40%, draw 31%, Gimnastic Tarragona 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.