AEgir 1-2 KFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

AEgir
1-2 HT 0-1
KFA
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
14%
3.94
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
14%
Draw
22%
-7.6pp
52%
Away Win
43%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.5pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY KFA EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.31/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.00
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KFA
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.09.2024 KFA KFA 3-3 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL2
29.06.2024 AEgir AEgir 0-1 HT 0-1 KFA KFA İZL2
POST-MATCH AEgir vs KFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFA nicked a narrow win over AEgir 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KFA as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KFA led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AEgir and 2.00 for KFA.

What was the final score of AEgir vs KFA?

AEgir 1-2 KFA in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs KFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFA win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AEgir 34%, draw 14%, KFA 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İZL2 More Iceland - 2nd Division
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