San Lorenzo 2-1 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.33
Over 2.5
26%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.53
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.72
2-3 Goals
34%
1.89
4-5 Goals
12%
7.99
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
11%
4.49
X/2
16%
7.14
X/X
23%
2.98
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
6.67
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-11.1pp
34%
Draw
34%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.1pp
74%
Under 2.5
72%
+2.4pp
26%
Over 2.5
28%
-2.4pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.2pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.23/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.12
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.6 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
17.02.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
25.09.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
30.07.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
26.06.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
11.08.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 2-2 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
2-1
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.84 xG 1.54
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
108 Passes 379
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tigre 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 34% — and on the day San Lorenzo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 27% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 73%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.00 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre?

San Lorenzo 2-1 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 31%, draw 34%, Atletico Tigre 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (31/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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