San Lorenzo 0-1 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.28 — our 38% vs market 35.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.82
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.32
X/2
9%
7.81
X/X
16%
3.73
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
6.54
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.28/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.12
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
26.2 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 0.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
250 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
25.09.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
30.07.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
26.06.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
11.08.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 2-2 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
03.12.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-2 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
0-1
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.16 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
238 Passes 352
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre nicked a narrow win over San Lorenzo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tigre found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 42% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 58%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.16 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.00 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre?

San Lorenzo 0-1 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 37%, draw 33%, Atletico Tigre 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Lorenzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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