Instituto Cordoba 1-3 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.28
X/2
9%
8.03
X/X
17%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
13%
6.3
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.42/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
25.9 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.16 xG 1.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
249 Passes 248
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
03.10.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
31.07.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 4-2 HT 3-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1-3
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.36 xG 2.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
250 Passes 216
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz got the better of Instituto Cordoba 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Instituto Cordoba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 52% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 48%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.36 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 2.33 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Godoy Cruz?

Instituto Cordoba 1-3 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 41%, draw 31%, Godoy Cruz 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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