Rosario Central 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 38% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
11%
6.87
X/X
18%
3.91
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
5.39
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.3 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.68 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 213
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
02.03.2019 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
07.04.2018 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
18.12.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
01.12.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJK
24.05.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
2-1
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.80 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
267 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central squeezed past Belgrano Cordoba 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosario Central had 49% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 51%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.80 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosario Central and 0.33 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Rosario Central 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 43%, draw 29%, Belgrano Cordoba 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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