Estudiantes 2-2 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.57
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.87
X/2
11%
5.95
X/X
16%
3.75
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
15%
4.74
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -23%
1.35/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.11
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.6 Crosses 21.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 323
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-3 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
19.08.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
12.05.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
07.09.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
09.05.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
08.12.2020 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
2-2
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.93 xG 2.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
458 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Argentinos Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes had 55% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 45%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 0.93 to 2.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes and 1.33 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors?

Estudiantes 2-2 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 40%, draw 30%, Argentinos Juniors 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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