Moreton City Excelsior 3-3 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.0
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
33%
-7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.90
+42% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.6
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Peninsula Power
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.09.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
10.08.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 1-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
11.05.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior and Peninsula Power couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Moreton City Excelsior at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 2.00 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?

Moreton City Excelsior 3-3 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 53%, draw 21%, Peninsula Power 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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