Al Dhafra 2-1 Dubai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubai United EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.95/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.35
+20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dubai United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.01.2025 Dubai United 3-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
27.04.2024 Dubai United 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
16.12.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 1-0 Dubai United BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
2-1
AWAY Dubai United
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Dubai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra squeezed past Dubai United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 40% of the ball to Dubai United's 60%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Dhafra and 1.67 for Dubai United.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Dubai United?

Al Dhafra 2-1 Dubai United in the UAE - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Dubai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 49%, draw 21%, Dubai United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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