Dubai United 1-3 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Dubai United
1-3 HT 0-1
Al Dhafra
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UAE - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Dubai United vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+8.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dubai United v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubai United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.99
-19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Dubai United vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubai United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 1-0 Dubai United BAE2

Dubai United 1-3 Al Dhafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubai United
1-3
AWAY Al Dhafra
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dubai United vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra got the better of Dubai United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dubai United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dubai United had 50% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 50%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Dubai United vs Al Dhafra?

Dubai United 1-3 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubai United vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubai United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dubai United 53%, draw 22%, Al Dhafra 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dubai United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE2 More UAE - 1st Division
27 Apr 2024
16:55 Al Urooba vs Gulf United Analysis →
16:55 Al-Taawon vs Gulf Heroes Analysis →