Al-Taawon 0-1 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Taawon EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.49/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.79
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Taawon
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Gulf Heroes 3-2 HT 1-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
04.04.2023 Gulf Heroes 1-2 HT 0-1 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
20.11.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 2-3 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
13.03.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
27.11.2021 Gulf Heroes 2-2 HT 0-2 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
POST-MATCH Al-Taawon vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf Heroes edged past Al-Taawon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gulf Heroes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al-Taawon and 1.80 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Al-Taawon vs Gulf Heroes?

Al-Taawon 0-1 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Taawon vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al-Taawon 36%, draw 33%, Gulf Heroes 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al-Taawon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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