Al Urooba 2-1 Gulf United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf United EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.98/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.48
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +49%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gulf United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Gulf United 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba edged past Gulf United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Urooba as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Gulf United?

Al Urooba 2-1 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Gulf United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 64%, draw 20%, Gulf United 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Urooba), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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