Dubai United 3-0 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubai United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 45%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.73/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/0.62
+106% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +88%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubai United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Dubai United 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
16.12.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 1-0 Dubai United BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubai United
3-0
AWAY Al Dhafra
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dubai United vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubai United cruised past Al Dhafra 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dubai United had 50% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 50%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Dhafra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dubai United and 2.00 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Dubai United vs Al Dhafra?

Dubai United 3-0 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubai United vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dubai United 36%, draw 22%, Al Dhafra 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Dhafra), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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