11/01/2025
·
15:55
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Arabi vs Gulf United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
25%
Draw
22%
27%
Away Win
18%
42%
Under 2.5
41%
58%
Over 2.5
59%
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
42%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arabi v Gulf United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Arabi
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gulf United
EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
1.38/0.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.66/1.28
-30%
/
+39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-45%
/
+38%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
375 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
258 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
Arabi vs Gulf United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Arabi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Gulf United
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Arabi vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arabi beat Gulf United 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Arabi vs Gulf United?
Arabi 3-1 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arabi vs Gulf United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arabi 48%, draw 25%, Gulf United 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Arabi)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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11 Jan 2025