Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v PFC Beroe — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Spartak Varna
BUL1
0-4
HT 0-1
PFC Beroe
BUL1
Spartak Varna 1-2 PFC Beroe — Actual Match Statistics
PFC Beroe nicked a narrow win over Spartak Varna 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Spartak Varna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 52% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 48%, shots finished 11-17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Spartak Varna and 2.75 for PFC Beroe.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe?
Spartak Varna 1-2 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 43%, draw 25%, PFC Beroe 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.