Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.48
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.44
X/2
12%
8.27
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1
5%
23.75
2/2
8%
6.46
2/X
9%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.55
+0% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
20.2 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 260
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
02.11.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.09.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-2 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
26.11.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
28.07.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 3-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
23.10.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
0-1
AWAY HB Koge
1.73 xG 0.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
351 Passes 168
74% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge nicked a narrow win over Vendsyssel FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vendsyssel FF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 63% of the ball to HB Koge's 37%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.73 to 0.81 — on chances, Vendsyssel FF could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 0.67 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge?

Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 45%, draw 28%, HB Koge 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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