Kolding IF 2-1 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 May 2025

Kolding IF
2-1 HT 0-0
Esbjerg
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kolding IF vs Esbjerg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.41
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.47
X/2
11%
8.32
X/X
13%
5.61
2/1
9%
21.8
2/2
16%
6.19
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolding IF v Esbjerg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.63/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.83
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.0 Crosses 11.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Kolding IF vs Esbjerg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
375 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
22.02.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
21.08.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
17.06.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
16.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
23.10.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2

Kolding IF 2-1 Esbjerg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
2-1
AWAY Esbjerg
1.84 xG 0.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
349 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF nicked a narrow win over Esbjerg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kolding IF had 55% of the ball to Esbjerg's 45%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolding IF's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kolding IF and 1.33 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?

Kolding IF 2-1 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 41%, draw 28%, Esbjerg 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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