KuPS Kuopio 3-0 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.18
Over
59%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.38
2-3
45%
1.93
4-5
27%
3.05
6+
8%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.84
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.25
X/1
22%
4.07
X/2
5%
12.4
X/X
11%
6.47
2/1
4%
21.0
2/2
7%
9.86
2/X
3%
18.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.07 — our 22% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME KuPS Kuopio The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.63 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.09
Average Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 Passes 309
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
14.04.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.09.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 1-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
15.08.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-0 HT 2-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
23.08.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
22.06.2015 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3 - 0
AWAY KTP Kotka
3.31 xG 0.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
28 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
582 Passes 316
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
75 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW KuPS Kuopio vs KTP Kotka
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

KuPS Kuopio dismantled KTP Kotka 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%) came home.

Under the surface, KuPS Kuopio had 63% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 37%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 3.31 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.83 for KTP Kotka.

KuPS Kuopio vs KTP Kotka Result & Final Score

KuPS Kuopio 3 - 0 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

KuPS Kuopio vs KTP Kotka Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 68%, draw 18%, KTP Kotka 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
10 May 2025
17:00 IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku Analysis →
19:00 Oulu vs Gnistan Analysis →