IFK Mariehamn 2-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
43%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 30% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
12.0
1/2
6%
22.0
1/X
8%
20.35
X/1
7%
14.25
X/2
6%
3.93
X/X
17%
6.55
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
31%
1.72
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+10.9pp
32%
Draw
20%
+11.7pp
43%
Away Win
66%
-22.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 70%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.89/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.04
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +107%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
200 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 531 · 86%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
12.4 Crosses 8.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Inter Turku
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 2.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
280 Passes 427
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
06.10.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
02.08.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
30.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2-2
AWAY Inter Turku
1.63 xG 2.75
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
208 Passes 567
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 46
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and Inter Turku shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 31% of the ball to Inter Turku's 69%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.63 to 2.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.50 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

IFK Mariehamn 2-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 25%, draw 32%, Inter Turku 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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